OUR SPONSORS

     
User Name
Password
Not a member, register here
Money makes the world go round…


Foreign exchange – often abbreviated to forex — trading involves the purchase of two currency pairs with the expectation that one of them will rise in value over the other so the pair may be sold to make a profit. What’s more unlike equities, bonds and commodities, which can all fall in price at the same time, this is not the case in the currency markets. By the nature of the market-place, currencies trade in pairs. If one currency is losing value then another, by definition, is rising in value.

“Quite simply, a lot of people in GCC region like to trade, and there’s an understanding of speculating and trading,” said Gary L. Tilkin, President and Chief Executive Officer of foreign exchange broker GFT. “Universally, understanding the trading is probably the biggest driver, and for geographic reasons people outside of the US are more used to exchanging currencies. In the US, unless people have travelled overseas they never really get into currency exchange.”

The high volume of the forex market (estimated at more than $ 3 trillion turnover around the world every trading day) offers one key benefit over other markets – high liquidity. That makes it very easy to buy or sell a currency pair at any time. The forex market never sleeps. Traders are active 24 hours a day, 5.5 days a week. The size of the market also means it is almost impossible for one entity to control, as many governments over the years have found to their cost. What that means for you is that you are not at the mercy of someone buying huge quantities of any given currency to influence market values. What determines the value of one currency to another is mostly a simple matter of supply and demand.

That said, if you are considering trading emerging countries’ currencies you will need to take account of increased risks – social, political and governmental risk – all of which may combine to create a serious liquidity risk in the market. Governments of emerging countries in particular may impose legislation that can impact on currency liquidity.

Why forex trading makes sense

The volatility of the forex market creates many opportunities to profit that just aren’t available in any other market-place; because forex trading always happens in pairs, it doesn’t matter which way the market is moving; you always have equal access to trade whether you’re buying or selling. This ability to buy or sell in a rising or falling market creates unlimited profit potential (and unlimited loss potential!).

Currency prices can and do change by the second, and movements in currencies can be seen thousands of times per day. Rates can fluctuate dramatically, particularly during times of major economic announcements. There is no way to avoid volatility risks in forex — the volatility is also what provides the trading opportunities — but you must learn to manage risk properly.

With forex trading you are not limited to market opening hours. The forex market is open 24 hours a day, from 5pm Sunday EST (2am Monday in the UAE) through to 5pm Friday EST (2am Saturday in the UAE). The trading day begins when the market opens in Sydney, Australia and continues around the world as business days begin in each financial centre. This means you have the ability to respond to currency fluctuations caused by economic, social and political events as they occur, rather than waiting for the market to open.

Forex also allows you to control a larger trade amount for a fraction of the value. This is important because forex is traded in small fractions (called pips). Using leverage lets you typically trade in ratios of 100:1 (sometimes up to 400:1). Typically, this means that for every $1 you use to trade, you can control $100 worth of currency, which gives you an opportunity to make (or lose) a more substantial amount – leverage can work against you as well as for you.

Using leverage (sometimes called margin) creates the potential for substantial profits by trading larger quantities for a fraction of the value, AND it creates the potential for substantial loss. Every forex investor should be aware that larger margins carry the potential for larger gains or losses.

Forex trading eliminates a long list of fees found in other markets: commission fees, clearing fees, exchange fees, government fees, and platform fees and charting fees. All a trader will pay to trade forex is the spread, which is built into the buy and sell prices, and will vary by dealer although you will find several that offer spreads as low as one pip.

Let's trade forex

You may already have bought and sold stocks and shares. If so you’ll be familiar with the basic concept of buying at a lower market price in the hope of selling at a higher price for profit (if that’s not been the underlying tenet of your investment strategy then you have serious problems!).

Buying currencies pairs is a similar exercise. The first currency quoted in the pair is the currency you are buying and the second is the currency you are selling. So, if you buy EUR/USD you are buying euros and at the same time selling US dollars. You would do this if you believed the euro was going to increase in value against the US dollar. Buying a pair like this is also known as ‘going long’. Let us assume the current quoted price for EUR/USD is 1.3429/1.3432 – the first of these two prices is the ‘bid price’ and the second is the ‘ask price’ (see Definitions on p.??)

Buy Example

You buy one lot (100,000 units) of EUR/USD at the quoted price of 1.3432.

EUR: +100,000 USD: -134,320 (100,000 x 1.3432)

Later that day, the EUR/USD is quoted at EUR/USD 1.3460/1.3463. You decide to sell and take a profit.

EUR: -100,000 USD: +134,600 (100,000 x 1.3460)

Your profit: 134,600 – 134,320 = $280

Taking a “short position” may be a new concept. This simply means you are selling a currency pair on the expectation that the value will fall and that you may, therefore, buy it back at a lower price to make a profit and thus complete the trade. What this actually means is you have a way to make money in a falling market as well as a rising market! Returning to the EUR/USD pair, if you sell this pair, you are selling euros and buying US dollars and you would do this if you believed the euro was going to fall in value against the US dollar.

Sell Example

You sell one lot (100,000 units) of EUR/USD at the quoted price of 1.3429.

EUR: -100,000 USD: +134,290 (100,000 x 1.3429)

Later that day, the EUR/USD is quoted at EUR/USD 1.3460/1.3463. You decide to buy to take your losses and close your position.

EUR: +100,000 USD: -134,630 (100,000 x 1.3463)

Your loss: 134,290 – 134,630 = -$340



"Quite simply, a lot of people in GCC region like to trade, and there's an understanding of speculating and trading." - Gary L. Tilkin



Forex trading is basically about spotting trends and then riding them to make profits. The earlier you see a trend the more money you can make. Of course, far too many investors jump onto trends far too late. You can see this at work by looking at the Commitment of Traders Report which is compiled every fortnight by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The report groups traders – look closely at the ‘non-commercial speculators’. Subtract the number of long positions from the number of short positions and you’ll get a clue as to how bullish or bearish this group is on the exchange rate in question. Do this on a regular basis and you can build a picture of how market sentiment is moving. You can download the Commitment of Traders Report from www.cftc.gov.

Choosing a broker

When choosing a forex broker, you must choose a properly regulated dealer! Take the time to research dealers before opening an account. Performing this ‘due diligence’ can save many headaches down the road. You’ll want to know basic details such as what currency pairs the broker offers and on what spreads – these do vary from firm to firm. You’ll also want to make sure that the spreads remain somewhat consistent, and don’t fluctuate wildly in volatile markets.

You will also want to be clear on the margin requirement the broker requires. This will govern the leverage you can use when trading. We’ve already discussed how leverage can magnify both your profits and your losses. A decent broker should allow you to trade 24 hours a day, offer free trading software that integrates real time prices with charting tools that will enable you to discern market trends and make your investment decisions.

Managed Forex Accounts

Some brokers offer ‘managed forex accounts’. This service is designed specifically to appeal to high net worth individuals (HNWIs). If you are looking to hedge investments abroad or just to use forex as a non-correlated asset alongside other investments for long-term capital growth with limited risk, you may decide that a managed account makes sense, rather than spending your own time trading forex.

Depending on the managed programme’s trading strategy and use of leverage, studies suggest that a professionally managed forex account will show uncorrelated returns compared to most other asset classes, including the major equity indices. Such returns mean that a partial allocation to managed forex can reduce your overall investment portfolio’s total return volatility and, at the same time, provide better total return consistency over time.

For example, Arab Financial Brokers offers HNWIs actively managed forex accounts with funds held in individual client accounts that may be monitored 24/7 with a minimum investment level of $ 100,000.

Trading on the DGCX

The kind of forex trading we have been talking about so far is ‘spot’ trading. In fact forex contracts are the most common kinds of spot trades. If these kinds of contracts are not settled immediately, traders would expect to be compensated for the time value of their money for the duration of the delivery. Since these contracts are settled electronically, the forex market is essentially instantaneous. However, in addition to these off-exchange spot trades, many established exchanges around the world offer currency futures contracts.

The Dubai Gold & Commodities Exchange (DGCX), for example, has established itself as a forex futures trading hub. It is the only Exchange in the Middle East to offer currency futures trading and the only exchange outside of India to offer Indian Rupee/US Dollar (INR/USD) futures which are available to international participants. The Indian Rupee futures contract is cash settled based on the US Dollar reference rate published by the Reserve Bank of India, providing alignment with the domestic rate. The DGCX also offers currency futures transactions in Euro/US Dollar, Sterling/US Dollar and Japanese Yen/US Dollar.

Kevin Day, Head of Relationship Management at DGCX, said, “The forex market has grown significantly in recent years… backed by greater demand and the increasing trend of deploying highly sophisticated algorithmic trading tools.

“Currency trading is emerging as an asset class in its own right in the Middle East. This, coupled with today’s requirement to manage counterparty credit risk offers a vast growth opportunity for DGCX, its members and the Middle East FX trading community as a whole.” The Dubai Commodity Clearing Corporation (DCCC), the clearing house of DGCX, provides a settlement guarantee fund and has experienced zero defaults since inception.

Learning about forex trading

All forex brokers offer a wealth of information for interested investors. As well as guides to forex trading and tools to help you make your trading decisions, many of them offer practice accounts where you may ‘trade’ without risking any money in order to learn how the market operates – you won’t lose any money in these practice accounts but, of course, you won’t make any either!

On the other hand you may feel the need to get a better understanding by actually taking a course in foreign exchange trading. You can do this either online or face-to-face. In Dubai, for example, the N2FX Training Center has been providing up-to-date and quality education on the financial market since 2004.

With many investors particularly from UAE being attracted towards the potential opportunity of this market, N2FX offers seminars/training programmes/courses on the latest online trading tools and software. N2FX Training Center says its mission is to create an innovative trading environment for both novice and experienced forex and commodities traders.

The Online Trading Academy offers two courses on forex. The first introduces traders to all aspects of the forex trading world using the latest tools and software while the second is designed almost as a ‘lab session’ in which participants are taught how to identify a trading model and a series of tactics that fit them, ‘trading’ with live streaming data.



Risk Warning

Trading foreign exchange carries a significant level of risk to the capital you invest. Therefore, you should only trade money that you can afford to lose. The trading of such products may not be suitable for all investors. You must ensure that you fully understand the risk involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Remember that both stocks and forex trading involve risk. Forex trading is not conducted on a regulated exchange and as a result, there are additional risks associated with forex trading.

Definitions

  • Ask Price – also known as the “buy” or “offer” price, the ask price is the price at which you can buy a currency pair.
  • Bid Price – also known as the “sell” price, the bid price is the price at which you can sell a currency pair.
  • Leverage – the ability to use a small amount of money to control a large amount.
  • Long – buying a currency pair; often referred to as “going long” or “taking a long position.”
  • Lot – the number of units of a particular currency pair that you can trade at one time; most forex dealers have a minimum lot size of 100,000, but some will offer smaller lot sizes.
  • Margin – the security deposit a forex dealer requires you to keep in your account to support your open position(s).
  • Minor & Major Currencies – the most popular currency pairs are called “the majors.” They are EUR/CHF, EUR/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/EUR, GBP/USD, USD/AUD, USD/CAD, USD/CHF and USD/JPY. Other available currency pairs, including those from emerging markets, tend to be a higher risk to trade.
  • Pip – in a currency pair quote such as USD/EUR 1.6380, the last number behind the decimal represents a pip; it is the smallest unit that price can change for the pair.
  • Short – selling a currency pair; often referred to as “going short” or “taking a short position.”
  • Spread – the spread is the difference between the bid and the ask prices, in pips. For example, if the USD/EUR has a bid price of 1.6381 and an ask price of 1.6384, the spread is 3 pips (1.6384 - 1.6381 = .0003, or 3 pips)

Currency Symbols

The official ISO 4217 standard specifies three-letter ("Alpha-3") codes for currencies worldwide. The first two letters of these codes are usually identical with the two-letter ISO 3166-1 Alpha-2 country codes, which are well-known by internet users, as they are used for country domain suffixes. The third letter is usually but not always the initial of the currency name.
 
  • AED        United Arab Emirates Dirham
  • AUD       Australian Dollar
  • CAD       Canadian Dollar
  • EUR        European Union Euro
  • NZD       New Zealand Dollar
  • CHF        Switzerland Franc
  • USD       United States Dollar
  • JPY         Japanese Yen
  • GBP       Great Britain Pound

Comments

Tell us what do you think

Post a Comment
  NAME:
  EMAIL:
  MESSAGE:
 
     
Send to a friend
  RECIPIENT E-MAIL:
  YOUR E-MAIL:
  YOUR MESSAGE:
     
Contact the Editor
  NAME:
  EMAIL:
  MESSAGE:
     
   
  Other articles:
 
 
© 2009 CPI Financial. All rights reserved.    Privacy policy
No part of this website may be reproduced or used in any form of advertising without prior permission in writing from the editor.